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21:20 Great Leighs

Willow Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Class 5)

  • 5 Runners
  • Distance: 1m 2f
  • Going: Standard
  • Surface: Polytrack
  • £5,000 added
Weighed In
  • Winning Time: 2m 13.38s
  • Off Time: 21:20:50
  • 5 Ran
1(1)
Silk - White, royal blue cross of lorraine, royal blue and white halved sleeves, royal blue cap
33/1
  • Form 0-
  • Age 4
  • Weight 9-7

steadied start, keen, held up in rear, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened

2(2)
Silk - Yellow and Black stripes, diabolo on sleeves, Yellow cap
  • Form 7870
  • Age 3
  • Weight 9-3
  • Official Rating 55

keen, led 1f, chased winner to over 3f out, ridden to chase winner again inside final furlong, no chance

3(3)
Silk - Black, Yellow chevron, Black sleeves, Yellow stars, Yellow cap
5/2
  • Form 446
  • Age 3
  • Weight 9-3
  • Official Rating 66

close up, chased winner over 3f out, ridden over 2f out, lost 2nd inside final furlong

4(5)
Silk - Dark Blue, White stars, striped sleeves, White cap, Dark Blue star
33/1
  • Form 090999/
  • Age 5
  • Weight 9-2
  • Official Rating 35

went right start, held up in rear, ridden over 2f out, no impression

5(4)
Silk - Orange, Dark Green disc
  • Form 58-4
  • Age 3
  • Weight 8-12
  • Official Rating 69

led after 1f, made rest, set steady pace, ridden and quicken 2f out, ran on final furlong

In depth

Verdict

This looks to be a good opportunity for INCARNATION to break her duck, while Time To Play can probably emerge as the main danger for forecast money. The Luca Cumani-trained selection has clearly taken a bit of time to come to hand. She had two runs last year and was not seen for 11 months until going well over 1m 4f in August. She has since switched to Cumani, who may well have improved her in the past couple of months, and in any case if she reproduce the form of that last run she would have a great chance tonight. Time To Play has shown some steady improvement in three runs and perhaps looks likely to emerge best of the remainder now reunited with Kirsty Milcarek. Mayfair's Future looks ordinary on what we have seen but John Jenkins' runners have been in better form since her last run so there could be some improvement today. Apocalypto looks best watched for the moment, while Kentavr's Dream is more interesting. She hasn't been seen for over two years but connections persevere and the Paul Howling yard is going pretty well so money for her would raise an eyebrow. Nonetheless, Incarnation can make the most of her chance in this weak contest.

Formwatch

Apocalypto (IRE) 40-1 (9-0) Mid-division, outpaced 2f out, weakened rapidly, soon tailed off, last of 13, 37l behind Cherie's Dream (8-9) at Kempton 7f mdn aut stk (5) pol in May '07.

Mayfair's Future 40-1 (8-13) Always rear, struggling 4f out, 10th of 12, 16l behind Miss Pelling (9-2) at Lingfield 1m 2f 3yo hcp (6) pol in Oct.

Time To Play 100-1 (9-0) Held up mid-division, kept on same pace over 2f out, 6th of 15, 13l behind Covert Ambition (9-3) at Nottingham 1m 2f 3yo mdn (5) gs in Oct.

Kentavr's Dream 100-1 (8-5) Held up, ridden and strugglig final 3f, 9th of 11, 19l behind Khun John (9-3) at W'hampton 1m 1f 3yo & 4yo mdn (5) pol in Oct '06.

Incarnation (IRE) 33-1 (8-12) Held up towards rear, headway 3f out, edged left over 1f out, stayed on final furlong, 4th of 10, 4l behind Rio Guru (8-12) at W'hampton 1m 4f mdn fll (5) pol in Aug.