held up behind leaders, ridden along and headway over 2f out, hung right over 1f out, one pace final furlong
held up in rear, ridden along when outpaced 5f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on same pace final furlong
soon led, steady pace, quickened over 5f out, driven when headed 2f out, no extra final furlong
held up, ridden along over 4f out, weakened over 1f out
tracked leader, ridden to lead 2f out, kept on final furlong
A tough handicap in which we will side with course and distance winner Jebel Tariq ahead of Sweet Lightning and Inchwood. A tightly-knit handicap this and there may not be much in it come the line; Jebel Tariq was very impressive when winning at the track in June, so much so that we will give him a chance to atone for his following poor run. That was in a fair handicap but his performance was abject and he needs to bounce back. One worry may be that he didn't beat anything that acted on the ground when successful, and if the form is suspect, then it may pay to side with Inchwood. Michael Jarvis has his horses running well and this son of Dubai Destination was impressive when winning last time out. His second to Warringah reads well and he must be a major player. Keenes Day could be up against it on his seasonal return, so a bigger danger may prove to be Sweet Lightning. He has held his form well this season but has not encountered soft ground yet. Rowan Rio and Blimey O'Reilly are two more to consider in what looks an open race, however it is Jebel Tariq who receives the vote.
Sweet Lightning 7-2 (9-11) Raced keenly in touch, ridden over 2f out, stayed on to take 3rd inside final furlong, not touble leading pair, 3rd of 7, 3l behind Downhiller (9-7) at Newbury 1m 4f 3yo hcp (4) gf in Jul.
Inchwood (IRE) 10-11fav (9-7) Dwelt, held up in last place, in touch, headway over 1f out to chase leader, led inside final furlong, ran on, won at Lingfield 1m 5f 3yo hcp (4) pol in Jul beating Reclamation (9-4) by 2 1/2l, 5 ran.
Jabal Tariq 4-1 (9-3) Tracked winner, challenged over 3f out, ridden and weakened approaching final furlong, 4th of 6, 18l behind Laterly (9-7) at Ripon 1m 4f 3yo hcp (2) gd in Jul.
Keenes Day (FR) 20-1 (9-2) Dwelt, behind, headway towards inner over 2f out, driven and stayed on inside final furlong, never going pace to reach leaders, 4th of 14, 1 1/2l behind Bronze Cannon (9-2) at Kempton 1m 2yo hcp 0-85 (5) pol in Oct.
Blimey O'Riley (IRE) 10-11fav (8-10) Made all, ridden 2f out, stayed on well final furlong, won at Newcastle 1m 4f mdn aut stk (6) gf in May beating Hollins (9-13) by 2 1/2l, 5 ran.
Rowan Rio 16-1 (9-7) With leaders, led over 3f out, kept on well, won at Ripon 1m 4f 3yo hcp (5) hvy in Jul beating Mezzanisi (9-7) by 1/2l, 8 ran.