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15:25 Exeter

Happy Birthday Brendon Soper 'National Hunt' Juvenile Novices' Hurdle (Class E)

  • 7 Runners
  • Distance: 2m 1f
  • Going: Soft, Heavy in places
Weighed In
  • Winning Time: 4m 36.70s
  • 7 Ran
1
Silk - WHITE, ROYAL BLUE sash, WHITE sleeves, RED armlets, RED cap
  • Form 12
  • Age 4
  • Weight 11-5

led until approaching 1st, with leader, ridden approaching 2 out, weakening when hit last

2
Silk - LIGHT BLUE, WHITE spots, armlets and cap
10/1
  • Form 332
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

tracked leader, led approaching 1st, made rest, shaken up flat, ran on well

3
Silk - Royal Blue, Yellow disc, White sleeves and cap
66/1
  • Form 6030
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

held up in touch, ridden and weakened approaching 2 out

4
Silk - Dark Blue, Maroon epaulets and armlets
  • Form 50
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

held up, headway approaching 2 out, ridden after last, staying on when veered left flat, not recover

5
Silk - Yellow, Maroon sash, hooped sleeves, Maroon cap
100/1
  • Form 60
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-7

tailed off from 3rd, fell 2 out

6
Silk - Purple, large White spots, Purple sleeves, White spots and spots on cap
100/1
  • Form 00
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-7

not jump well in rear, tailed off and pulled up after 3rd

7
Silk - Royal Blue, White stars, White sleeves, Red armlets, White and Red striped cap
66/1
  • Form 006
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-7

held up, hampered 2nd, headway after 3rd, soon ridden, weakened

In depth

Verdict

Unless the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Randolph O'Brien, who has been unplaced in two starts in bumpers, improves greatly for going over hurdles this should lie between Deer Dancer and Tamarinbleu, with the latter the obvious selection. Jimmy Frost's Deer Dancer showed a decent level of form in bumpers and lost no caste in defeat on his hurdles debut when second to Martin Pipe's Mioche d'Estruval over course and distance last week. He has to be respected but it will be a surprise if he is good enough to beat Tamarinbleu. Martin Pipe's gelding made an impressive start to his hurdling career when making all to score at Ascot before finding just Triumph Hurdle favourite Trouble At Bay too good for him at Cheltenham. A reproduction of either of those efforts should suffice here. The remainder look distinctly moderate and Tamarinbleu should be able to justify likely prohibitive odds.