Deep Winter's pedigree suggests that this ground may not be a problem and she gets the vote ahead of Ghaidaa. Backers will need to be prepared to forgive Richard Fahey's filly a poor run at Goodwood last time. The combination of the unique track and the longer trip may have been the reasons behind that run and now dropped in trip she looks worth a hefty bet. She has shot up the weights for a hat-trick of wins on ground ranging from good to firm, but if we are right about this ground she can defy this new mark of 76. Ballora has improved with each start this season, whilst Amicable Terms now looks high enough in the weights after a good year. Calaganka is interesting, but connections may have shot themselves in the foot by running well in Group company and earning a 9lb higher handicap mark. Ghaidaa was slightly disappointing last time at Goodwood and needs to improve; the form of her Listed sixth looks solid and she should not be underestimated for her canny trainer. Trumpet Lily has a 4lb rise in the weights to contend with after a fair win last time, however Deep Winter is taken to make the best of this deep ground.
Ghaidaa (IRE) 4-1fav (9-0) Took keen hold in mid-division, effort on outside to press leaders 2f out, no impression approaching final furlong, 5th of 13, 3l behind Spell Caster (8-2) at Goodwood 1m 1f fll hcp 0-100 (2) gf in Jul.
Calakanga 80-1 (8-6) Chased leader until 3f out, weakened 2f out, 7th of 9, 14l behind Anna Pavlova (9-8) at Haydock 1m 4f fll stk Grp 2 (1) sft in Jul.
Trumpet Lily 3-1 (9-10) Steadied start, pulled hard in rear, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, driven clear, won at Newmarket 1m fll hcp (4) sft beating Talk of Saafend (9-7) by 2 1/2l, 6 ran.
Amicable Terms 3-1 (9-0) Prominent, chased leader 8f out until ridden over 1f out, no extra final furlong, 4th of 6, 5l behind Quirina (9-7) at Nottingham 1m 2f 3yo fll hcp 0-100 (4) gd.
Deep Winter 4-1jt-fav (8-7) Always mid-division, 10th of 13, 12l behind Southpaw Lad (8-7) at Goodwood 1m 3f 3yo hcp (3) gf.
Ballora (FR) 5-2 (8-12) Took keen hold tracking leaders, pushed along 3f out, went moderate 3rd over 1f out, 3rd of 5, 5l behind Stalking Shadow (9-2) at Salisbury 1m 3yo hcp (4) gs.
