confidently ridden, keen, tracked leader, shaken up to lead entering final 2f, soon ridden clear
steady start, in touch, pushed along over 3f out, soon weakened
led, ridden 3f out, headed entering final 2f, soon ridden and one pace
held up, not far away, pushed along over 3f out, weakened final 2f
Only four runners have stood their ground for this handicap and with none of them guaranteed to like the under hoof conditions plus all of them make handicap debuts here we'll side with form and VIVACHI with Mayolynn and Arashi in close proximity. Having looked progressive in maidens all over this trip so far the selection finished second best last time well ahead of a subsequent winner. However it is his performance on his penultimate effort that suggests he is well treated rated at 70 here as he finished just a neck behind an animal who has since won off a mark of 80. Mayolynn's progression was halted a bit when stepping down in trip last time. The suspicion is she'll be better with the extra furlong to face here but she's not obviously well weighted. Arashi defied his odds to confirm his progressive profile on his last run when finding just a useful looking sort too good over course and distance. That run suggests he's competitively rated and he should go well. Major Value will have to show an improvement now stepping up in trip but that's not out of the question so in a very trappy small field race Vivachi looks the best treated.
Vivachi (IRE) 3-1 (8-12) Led, ridden over 2f out, headed just inside final 2f, unable to quicken and no chance with winner final furlong, 2nd of 14, 3 1/2l behind Mary Goodnight (8-12) at Windsor 1m 2f 3yo & 4yo mdn (5) gf in Jul.
Arashi 28-1 (9-0) Held up, ridden and headway 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong, always held, 2nd of 7, 1 1/4l behind Seaway (9-0) at Leicester 1m 2f 3yo & 4yo mdn (5) gf in Jul.
Mayolynn (USA) 8-1 (8-11) Chased leading pair, awkward and wide into straight, ridden and weakened over 2f out, 4th of 9, 15l behind Almuktahem (9-2) at Lingfield 1m 1f 3yo & 4yo mdn (5) gf in Jul.
Major Value 50-1 (9-2) Took keen hold, chased leader to 3f out, soon ridden, weakened over 2f out, 10th of 12, 18l behind Directorship (9-2) at Sandown 1m 3yo & 4yo mdn (5) gf in Jul.