Newcastle are hot favourites to beat struggling Aston Villa live on Sky on Monday night, according to the Sky Sports Predictor.
In fact, our prediction system - which uses an algorithm to rank results, previous performances and the difficulty of upcoming fixtures - reckons Steve Bruce's side have just a five per cent chance of victory at St James' Park.
Villa's 3-1 defeat at home to Barnsley on Tuesday night means they have now gone eight games without a win and lost six of their fixtures in that streak.
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Highlights of the Sky Bet Championship game between Aston Villa and Barnsley
Newcastle, meanwhile, grabbed a late equaliser at Norwich to take a point from their midweek clash at Carrow Road. The result leaves Rafa Benitez's side one point ahead of Brighton at the top of the table.
The likelihood of Newcastle beating Villa is 75 per cent, while their chances of winning the title currently stand at 52 per cent, according to the Predictor.
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Highlights of the Sky Bet Championship game between Norwich and Newcastle
Elsewhere, Brighton (43 per cent likelihood of winning the league) have a 40 per cent chance of beating Barnsley this weekend, while Birmingham, Norwich and Cardiff are also favoured for victory.
Predictor: Championship fixtures
Home team win |
Draw |
Away team win |
Barnsley 32% |
28% |
Brighton 40% |
Birmingham 44% |
28% |
QPR 28% |
Burton 28% |
27% |
Norwich 46% |
Cardiff 64% |
24% |
Rotherham 12% |
Ipswich 35% |
28% |
Leeds 36% |
Newcastle 75% |
19% |
Aston Villa 5% |
Nottm Forest 31% |
28% |
Sheff Wed 41% |
Wigan 36% |
28% |
Preston 35% |
Sky Sports Predictor - % chance of Championship finishing position
Team |
Winner |
Top 2 |
Top 6 |
Relegation |
Predicted pts |
Newcastle |
52% |
88% |
>99% |
<1% |
93 |
Brighton |
43% |
79% |
>99% |
<1% |
90 |
Huddersfield |
3% |
15% |
91% |
<1% |
82 |
Reading |
1% |
12% |
89% |
<1% |
82 |
Leeds |
<1% |
4% |
74% |
<1% |
79 |
Sheff Weds |
<1% |
2% |
64% |
<1% |
77 |
Norwich |
<1% |
<1% |
29% |
<1% |
73 |
Fulham |
<1% |
<1% |
19% |
<1% |
71 |
Preston |
<1% |
<1% |
14% |
<1% |
70 |
Derby |
<1% |
<1% |
14% |
<1% |
70 |
Barnsley |
<1% |
<1% |
6% |
<1% |
67 |
Cardiff |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
62 |
Ipswich |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
59 |
Birmingham |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
58 |
Brentford |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
2% |
57 |
Wolves |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
5% |
55 |
QPR |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
5% |
55 |
Aston Villa |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
7% |
55 |
Nottm Forest |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
9% |
53 |
Bristol City |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
29% |
50 |
Blackburn |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
37% |
49 |
Wigan |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
47% |
47 |
Burton Albion |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
58% |
46 |
Rotherham |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
>99% |
33 |