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Champions League and Europa League impact on Premier League teams analysed

LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 14:  Hugo Lloris of Tottenham Hotspur reacts during the UEFA Champions League match between Tottenham Hotspur FC and AS Monaco
Image: Hugo Lloris and Tottenham suffered Champions League defeat to Monaco

The Champions League has a negative impact on English clubs in their subsequent Premier League fixtures, a Sky Sports study in association with HPE has found.

Arsenal, Leicester, Manchester City and Tottenham were all victorious in their domestic fixtures after the first round of Champions League games, but recent history suggests that is unlikely to hold true for the rest of the season, with Premier League teams competing in Europe's elite club competition often suffering a knock-on effect from their midweek exertions.

Arsenal, Manchester City and Chelsea have taken part in the last five Champions League competitions and over that period average a worse points-per-game return in Premier League fixtures taking place after Champions League rounds.

City have suffered more than most, with their points-per-game haul in the Premier League dropping from 2.18 when they haven't played in the Champions League earlier in the week, to 1.76 when they have. That's a 19 per cent decrease.

Interestingly, City's neighbours Manchester United have proved to be the exception to the rule. Over the past five years, in which United have participated four times in the Champions League, the Old Trafford side actually have a better record in Premier League matches played after those European games.

Manchester City's Sergio Aguero celebrates scoring his hat-trick
Image: Manchester City's Sergio Aguero scored a hat-trick against Borussia Monchengladbach

United have taken an average of 2.09 points per game in the Premier League following Champions League action but that figure drops to 2.01 points per game when they haven't.

However, while their five-year average points return demonstrates a drop-off after Champions League action, City, Arsenal and Chelsea have each had individual seasons where they've picked up more points per game after European action. 

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In 2012/13, City won 1.8 points per game after Champions League fixtures, compared to 1.16 at other times. Arsenal (in 2013/14 and 2014/15) and Chelsea (2011/12 and 2013/14) have experienced similar trends.

In 2014/15, Liverpool had a better record after not playing in the Champions League. Under Brendan Rodgers, the Reds took 1.7 points per game when they hadn't previously played in the Champions League compared with 1.17 when they had.

Man Utd, Man City, Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool CL records since 2011/12

Club Seasons in CL PL record after CL games PL record in non-CL week
Arsenal 11/12, 12/13, 13/14, 14/15, 15/16 P46 W26 D6 L14 (1.83 pts per game) P144 W82 D38 L24 (1.97 pts per game)
Chelsea 11/12, 12/13, 13/14, 14/15, 15/16 P46 W26 D5 L15 (1.8 pts per game) P144 W77 D39 L28 (1.88 pts per game)
Man City 11/12, 12/13, 13/14, 14/15, 15/16 P38 W19 D10 L9 (1.76 pts per game) P152 W102 D25 L25 (2.18 pts per game)
Man Utd 11/12, 12/13, 13/14, 15/16 P 32 W21 D4 L7( 2.09 pts per game) P120 W73 D22 L25 (2.01 pts per game)
Liverpool 14/15 P6 W2 D1 L3 (1.17 pts per game) P32 W16 D7 L9 (1.7pts per game)

Europa League impact

While there is a clear overriding trend among Premier League clubs in the Champions League over the last five years, the impact of the Europa League is more mixed.

In eight of the 12 Europa League campaigns by Premier League clubs since 2011/12, those teams have averaged more points after their European fixtures than in other league games. 

In fact, during the 2011/12 season Tottenham, Stoke and Fulham averaged considerably more points in Premier League games after Europa League fixtures. 

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 25:  James Milner of Liverpool and Ragnar Klavan of Augsburg compete for the ball during the UEFA Europa League Round of 32 s
Image: Liverpool have averaged fewer PL points per game after Europa League ties over the past five seasons

That season, Tottenham averaged 2.25 points per game after their Europa League ties, compared with 1.7 points per game in other Premier League matches. Stoke (1.78 points per game compared to one point per game) and Fulham (two points per game and 1.2 points per game) also responded well to Europa League competition.  

However, the overall record of Tottenham and Liverpool - who have played a high number of Europa League games over the past five years - shows they have taken fewer points from Premier League games which take place following a Europa League tie since 2011/12. 

Tottenham, Liverpool, Everton, Swansea, Newcastle, Stoke, Fulham records since 2011/12

Club Seasons in EL PL record after EL games PL record in non-EL week
Tottenham 11/12, 12/13, 13/14, 14/15, 15/16 P45 W24 D6 L15 (1.73pts per game) P145 W76 D38 L31 (1.83pts per game)
Liverpool 12/13, 15/16 P19 W6 D9 L4 (1.4pts per game) P57 W26 D16 L15 (1.65 pts per game)
Everton 14/15 P10 W4 D2 L4 (1.4 pts per game) P28 W8 D9 L11 (1.18 pts per game)
Swansea 13/14 P8 W2 D3 L3 (1.13 pts per game) P30 W9 D6 L15 (1.1 pts per game)
Newcastle 12/13 P13 W5 D1 L7 (1.23 pts per game) P25 W6 D7 L12 (1 pt per game)
Stoke 11/12 P9 W5 D1 L3 (1.78 pts per game) P29 W6 D11 L12 (1 pts per game)
Fulham 11/12 P8 W5 D1 L2 (2 pts per game) P30 W9 D9 L12 (1.2 pts per game)

Europa League play-offs played before the start of the season are not included, nor are European fixtures played before cup games or, in the case of Wigan in 2013/14 and Birmingham in 2011/12, Championship games.

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