Premier League Predictions and best bets: Liverpool to edge past Tottenham

Our football betting expert Jones Knows is back to provide more Premier League insight as he hunts down the value in the markets.

Everton vs Chelsea, Sunday 2pm

The goal rush continues in the Premier League and, when the opportunity arises, backing goals at the right price is a sensible betting strategy. Over the past 49 games, the average goals per game has spiked significantly to 3.39 per game and over 2.5 goals bettors have successfully cashed in 70 per cent of games. Even the 1.5 goals line is being battered by goals, in that 44 of those 49 games have seen two or more goals scored. Even the three all-Premier League Carabao Cup ties on Wednesday night went over 2.5 goals.

• 'A new, promising beginning' - The Friedkin Group seal Everton takeover

Chelsea's games are averaging 3.52 goals per game in the Premier League this season and the positivity at Goodison Park regarding the takeover of the club could lift the mood to help this game be played at a higher tempo.

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals looks a tempting wager at Evens with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Fulham vs Southampton, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

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Can you name me a better left-back in the Premier League than Antonee Robinson? Hard isn't it. The rampaging Fulham defender offers so much going forward but is also a fantastic one-on-one defender who has quickly become Fulham's most important and consistent player. No player has made more successful open-play crosses in the Premier League this season and he can also boast that no player has made more overlapping runs in the league.

This is leading to him creating a high volume of chances for his team-mates - he has six assists this season, including two at Anfield last weekend. He's 100/30 with Sky Bet for another.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Leicester vs Wolves, Sunday 2pm

Vitor Pereira could be an engaging watch if his Sky Sports News interview when gunning for the Everton job is anything to go by. The Portuguese boss has a history of making instant impacts at clubs, too. On all eight occasions he's taken over a top-flight club, he's won that first game in the dugout.

• Wolves appoint Pereira to succeed O'Neil

That new manager bounce, added to Leicester's ropey underlying numbers that point to big overperformance with their results, makes me want to back Wolves here with the 10/11 on the draw no bet standing out with Sky Bet.

Even the 13/8 on the nose for the away win makes appeal, especially if Mads Hermansen, City's star man this season in goal, doesn't recover from his groin issue.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Wolves draw no bet (10/11 with Sky Bet)

Manchester United vs Bournemouth, Sunday 2pm

Bournemouth have posted the second highest number of shots in the Premier League this season (270) - and only Manchester City (282) have recorded more. This, along with their strong expected goals for numbers (32.96) which are the second highest in the league, shows Andoni Iraola's football is functioning very nicely from a chance creation point of view.

What is holding it back slightly is the quality of player in forward areas at his disposal, hence why the Cherries record such bulky shot numbers.

• 'Actions speak louder than words' - Nev, Carra, Redknapp on Rashford situation

A big underperformance in attack when assessing their actual goals return showcases them as a team that needs plenty of chances to find the net, so they are always interesting in the total shots market.

Bournemouth are averaging 16.5 shots per 90 this season and will hold no fear going to Old Trafford to play a team clearly still learning to tie their shoelaces under their manager. It's going to be a slow and long process for Ruben Amorim to get his philosophies across. Bournemouth to record 14 or more shots at 11/10 with Sky Bet is one of the best bets of the weekend.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Bournemouth 14+ total match shots (11/10 with Sky Bet)

Tottenham vs Liverpool, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

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It's hard to argue with Liverpool being as short as 7/10 with Sky Bet here. It's the right price and I'm expecting them to make this a calm rather than chaotic affair. Arne Slot won't allow chaos to form in matches, he wants control and we've seen so many times this season the Liverpool way of taking the sting out of games at just the right time then being clinical when their chances come. Spurs won't be allowed to be Spurs if Liverpool get their way.

It doesn't put me off Dejan Kulusevski to come to this party again though. What a machine he is.

Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool

Sunday 22nd December 4:00pm Kick off 4:30pm

Since playing his new central attacking midfield role that allows him to roam dangerously all over the pitch and lead the Spurs press, his attacking output has become much more consistent than previous seasons. He's landed for punters backing him for a shot on target in 17 of his last 19 games across club and country and has scored eight times in that run, including four on the spin. His 10/11 shot on target price and 100/30 anytime odds are both of interest with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Knows' best bets...

• 1pt on Wolves draw no bet vs Leicester (10/11 with Sky Bet)
• 1pt treble on Bournemouth 14+ shots, Nottingham Forest double chance & Wolves double chance (11/2 with Sky Bet)

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