Predictions and insight for the latest round of Premier League games; West Brom vs Wolves and Burnley vs West Ham live on Sky Sports
Monday 3 May 2021 17:39, UK
After plenty of success last weekend, Jones Knows is back in the prediction chair and previews all 10 matches, offering up his betting insight along the way.
One thing you can guarantee after a Wolves game where they've shipped more than two goals, is a reaction. It's shut up shop time.
If you can't see that pattern then please head to the opticians.
Burnley spanked Nuno's boys all over Molineux last Sunday in an embarrassing 4-0 defeat and although they are facing a team all-but certain to go down here, a clean sheet will be demanded by the boss. It will be ponderous, it will be risk-free but if we come out the other side with a 13/2 winner for the 1-0 away win, it will have all been worth it.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-1
BETTING ANGLE: Back the 0-1 correct score (13/2 with Sky Bet)
Is West Ham's overperformance, according to the key metrics, starting to catch up with them? I've been banging that drum for most of the season with pretty embarrassing consequences considering the results David Moyes' side have been pulling out of the bag. They deserve massive credit for an extraordinary season.
However, back-to-back defeats have started to bear fruit on my West Ham theory. Their bubble is in danger of bursting when it comes to a top-six finish. By the time West Ham kick-off on Monday Night Football, they could've sunk to seventh place.
And this is the last place you want to go at the moment. Burnley are in bouncing form, culminating in a jaw-dropping 4-0 win at Wolves which was completely and utterly deserved in every department. Plus, Sean Dyche's men are notoriously very hard to beat at Turf Moor, fans or no fans, losing just three of their last 12 fixtures.
It's easy to forget Burnley themselves qualified for Europe two seasons ago. A lot of things fell into place that season, mostly keeping a fit group together with a consistent performance level. Judging by their last five games, they are back at that top-eight performance metrics. In that period, they have beaten Wolves and Everton and are averaging two goals a game while posting 13.8 shots per 90 minutes. It's front-foot football being played with a purpose.
They are a massive price to register another victory. And I'm happy to throw in the chance of the game producing more than two goals. All of Burnley's last five fixtures have gone over the 2.5 line whilst West Ham games have been very high scoring of late, averaging 4.4 goal per-game. Combine a home win and over 2.5 goals at a very juicy 5/1 with Sky Bet.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-1
BETTING ANGLE: Burnley to win and over 2.5 goals (5/1 with Sky Bet)
Southampton 1-1 Leicester - JONES KNOWS PREDICTED: 1-2
Crystal Palace 0-2 Man City - JONES KNOWS PREDICTED: 0-1
Brighton 2-0 Leeds - JONES KNOWS PREDICTED: 1-2
Chelsea 2-0 Fulham - JONES KNOWS PREDICTED: 1-0
Everton 1-2 Aston Villa - JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-0
Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal - JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 2-1
Tottenham 4-0 Sheff Utd - JONES KNOWS PREDICTED: 2-0