Racecards
16:20 Wincanton
Bathwick Tyres Taunton Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Class 4)
- 8 Runners
- Distance: 1m 1f 149y
- Surface: Turf
Verdict
Bob Buckler's Over The Flow has run well on heavy ground before and she has to be considered on ground that should not inconvenience her but she needs to improve on all known form to trouble MISSTREE DANCER, who is preferred to Love of Tara and Lady Roberta. Gordon Elliott's mare won well enough on soft ground at Gowran Park last month and she has to be respected on that evidence but she disappointed on her last venture to the UK at Ffos Las and is not certain to stay this far so may be best watched. Stable companion Sally Bawn was nothing out of the ordinary on the level and gave little sign for encouragement on her hurdling debut in December so she is hard to recommend and of more interest is Love of Tara. Martin Keighley's mare is the highest rated of the eight runners and has a bit in hand on official BHA ratings but she has yet to race on ground as testing as this and does have a penalty to carry so it may be worth taking a chance with Misstree Dancer. Nick Mitchell's mare has run well on the last two occasions that she has encountered heavy ground, falling when going well three out at Leicester and winning easily at Newton Abbot last month, and she looks worth a bet.
Formwatch
Love of Tara 33-1 (11-2) Always towards rear, 18th of 24, 48l behind Pause And Clause (11-10) at Cheltenham 2m 4f hcp (2) sft in Mar.
Lady Roberta (IRE) 7-2 (11-7) Chased leaders, 7th halfway, headway in 5th entering straight, ridden to lead before last, kept on well run-in, won at Gowran Park 2m 4f mdn hdl (6yo+) in Mar beating Playboy Luke (11-12) by 3l, 20 ran.
Misstree Dancer 6-5fav (10-9) Tracked leaders, led 4 out, clear approaching 2 out, ran on strongly, easily, won at Newton Abbot 2m 6f mrs nov hdl (4) hvy in Mar beating She's On The Case (11-5) by 20l, 8 ran.
Arctic Flow 200-1 (10-3) In rear, never dangerous, 8th of 11, well behind Hoback Junction (11-1) at Plumpton 2m 5f nh nov hdl (4) sft in Mar.
Between Dreams 25-1 (10-7) Led, ridden and headed 3 out, gradually faded, 11th of 13, 24l behind Winsley Hill (10-7) at Exeter 2m 1f nov hdl (4) gf in May '08.
Over The Flow 14-1 (10-7) Led, headed 4th, ridden and mistake 7th, weakened 3 out, 10th of 13, 38l behind Dr Hart (10-6) at Sandown 2m 6f hcp hdl 0-120 (3) gd in Mar.
Sally Bawn (IRE) 25-1 (11-2) Never better than mid-division, 11th of 29, 24l behind Where's The Dosh (11-7) at Navan 2m 4yo mdn hdl hvy in Dec.
Tenawa 14-1 (10-12) Led until 3rd, led again after next, headed 4out, soon ridden, weakened 2out, pulled up before last, in a race won by Misstree Dancer (10-9) at Newton Abbot 2m 6f mrs nov hdl (4) hvy in Mar, 8 ran.