made all, clear approaching 4 out, stayed on well unchallenged
held up behind leaders, headway 11th, went 2nd next, no impression on winner 4 out, hard ridden approaching 2 out, weakened flat
chased winner 4th to 7th, chased leaders approaching 3 out, kept on flat, never any chance with winner
chased leaders, went 2nd 7th to 12th, ridden 4 out, stayed on to take 2nd flat, no chance with easy winner
DEVIL'S CREEK is the suggestion; Nelson has been running well whilst Incorporation has won here in the past. The selection's Rules debut came over fences and saw him pull-up and all of his subsequent outings have been over hurdles. The best performance of his career came on his most recent outing and he may be able to build on that back over birch. Nelson has made the frame on his last three starts over a variety of trips under a variety of conditions. The evidence suggests that he should run his race which may be enough to see him go close. Incorporation's four wins have all been achieved over shorter and he's still 5lbs higher than for his last success so he has enough to do before his recent form is taken into account but this wouldn't be the strongest race. Major Euro's last two wins have come at Newbury and he's only made the frame once in six starts here but he is back on a winning mark. Arceye carried all before him in the spring of last year but has struggled to recapture that form and may still be too high in the weights. Devil's Creek may emerge as the best of this bunch on the day.
Nelson (FR) 6-1 (10-8) Always promient, led 8th, headed 9th, led again 11th, headed 3 out, one pace last, 3rd of 9, 7l behind Matcho Pierji (11-7) at Leicester 2m 4f hcp chs 0-115 (4) gd in Feb.
Devil's Creek (IRE) 14-1 (11-9) Towards rear, headway 6th, led 3 out, ridden approaching 2 out, headed last, not quicken, 2nd of 9, 4l behind Tarateeno (11-6) at Wincanton 2m 6f hcp hdl 0-105 (4) sft in Feb.
Incorporation 33-1 (10-12) In touch, ridden 4th, lost place 5 out, 7th of 11, 23l behind Le Roi Rouge (11-11) at Carlisle 2m hcp chs 0-115 (4) hvy in Feb.
Major Euro (IRE) 33-1 (10-13) In touch on outside, every chance 3 out, weakened approaching 2 out, 6th of 9, 19l behind Matcho Pierji (11-7) at Leicester 2m 4f hcp chs 0-115 (4) gd in Feb.
Arceye 14-1 (11-2) Prominent, reminder after 3rd, weakened after 5th, tailed off when pulled up 5 out in race won by Auditor (10-0) at Towcester 2m 3f hcp chs 0-105 (4) gd in Oct, 11 ran.
