Racecards
16:40 Carlisle
E.b.f. Fillies' Handicap (Class 4)
- 6 Runners
- Distance: 1m 1f 61y
- Going: Good to Firm
- Surface: Turf
- £10,000 added
Black Dahlia
16- Form 357434
- Age 4
- Weight 8-13
- Official Rating 70
- Trainer A J McCabe
- Jockey James Doyle
keen early, tracked winner, challenged and every chance over 2f out to over 1f out, soon ridden, weakening when not much room inside final furlong
- Form 770666
- Age 4
- Weight 8-9
- Official Rating 65
- Trainer P Monteith
- Jockey T Hamilton
held up in rear, ridden and effort on outside from over 2f out to over 1f out, no impression final furlong
- Form 737722
- Age 5
- Weight 8-9
- Official Rating 65
- Trainer H A McWilliams
- Jockey T Eaves
tracked leaders, headway when not much room 2f out to over 1f out, ridden and edged left inside final furlong, stayed on to take 2nd near finish
- Form 822344
- Age 7
- Weight 8-9
- Official Rating 59
- Trainer E J Alston
- Jockey A Mullen
held up, driven and effort on inside over 2f out, ridden and stayed on to chase winner final furlong, lost 2nd near finish
- Form 3171
- Age 3
- Weight 8-6
- Official Rating 74
- Trainer T D Easterby
- Jockey D Fentiman
held up in touch, ridden and effort over 1f out, kept on same pace final furlong
- Form 444-44
- Age 3
- Weight 8-2
- Official Rating 70
- Trainer G A Swinbank
- Jockey Dale Gibson
made all, quickened 3f out, soon hard pressed, ridden and held on under pressure final furlong
Verdict
OFF CHANCE, a winner here last time out, is the selection, with Magic Echo and Snow Dancer the others to note. Snow Dancer won in January but has not won in eight starts since. He looks a little one paced, though he was only just held at Musselburgh last time, rallying well in the closing stages. Magic Echo is another to have endured a winless run, with his last win coming a year ago. She was only narrowly beaten last time, and if she can re-produce that improved run she can go close. Off Chance has been harshly raised for head win over the course and distance last time. He is 9lbs higher here, but he is lightly raced and looks capable of maintaining that forward progress. Off Chance will appreciate the testing finish again and can justify the weights hike.
Formwatch
Black Dahlia 14-1 (8-12) Chased leader, challenged 2f out, one pace inside final furlong, 4th of 8, 6l behind Rosaleen (8-12) at Pontefract 1m fll lst stks (1) gd.
Talk of Saafend (IRE) 9-1 (9-8) Close up, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened, 6th of 9, 24l behind Jenny Potts (9-10) at Hamilton 1m 1f (5) gd.
Snow Dancer (IRE) 4-1 (8-13) In touch, chased winner over 2f out, ridden and effort when hung left over 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, held near finish, 2nd of 5, nk behind Ainia (9-7) at Musselburgh 1m 1f fll hcp (0-85) (4yo+) (4) gf.
Johnston's Baby (IRE) 11-1 (9-4) Mid-division, ridden and headway over 2f out, stayed on final furlong, 4th of 16, 8l behind Maybe I Wont (8-7) at Nottingham 1m 2f hcp 0-60 (6) gd.
Off Chance 11-4fav (9-5) Held up, headway 3f out, led well inside final furlong, driven out, won at Carlisle 1m 1f fll hcp (5) gf beating Ethics Girl (8-9) by hd, 9 ran.
Honimiere (IRE) 8-1 (9-4) Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, edged right and kept on same pace final furlong, no impression, 4th of 15, 8l behind Jimwil (8-10) at Redcar 7f hcp 0-75 (5) gf.
Magic Echo 20-1 (10-0) Held up towards rear, switched right and headway on outer over 2f out, ran on final furlong, not reached winner, 2nd of 13, 1/2l behind Wovoka (9-9) at Doncaster 1m hcp 0-85 (4) gs in May.
Casino Night 15-2 (8-7) Tracked leaders, headway and effort over 2f out, soon ridden, kept on same pace under pressure final furlong, 3rd of 5, 2l behind Ainia (9-7) at Musselburgh 1m 1f fll hcp (0-85) (4yo+) (4) gf.