WGC-Dell Match Play Championship: One player from each quarter

By Ben Coley

Golf expert Ben Coley goes through the WGC Dell Match Play draw to select one player to follow from each quarter...

The WGC Dell Match Play Championship underwent some changes last year, which helped Rory McIlroy win the event for the first time having lost to Hunter Mahan in 2012.

McIlroy won all of his matches but needed to produce some remarkable fightbacks to do so, including in the group stage when he came from the brink to beat Billy Horschel and progress.

Image: Rory McIlroy with the WGC Match Play trophy last year

It's the group stage which is new, as this used to be a straightforward knockout tournament, and with it the prospects of a classy winner surely increase. McIlroy and co can afford a lapse in concentration early knowing if they do get rolling into the last 16, when it's straight-up head-to-head, they will be hard to stop.

Here, I breakdown each quarter in the hope we might get one, two, three or even all four semi-finalists.

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Quarter One

Starting at the top-left of the PGA Tour's printable bracket, Jordan Spieth is considered the man to beat and rightly so. After all, he's the top-ranked player in the world, his group doesn't appear too bad and he's from Texas, which is where this event is now being played. Everything points towards the world No 1 except one thing - his match play record.

You'd be forgiven for thinking Spieth is a beast in this format and he did reach the quarter-finals on his 2014 debut, but since turning professional he's yet to be a serious force in match play. He was knocked out by Lee Westwood at the group stage last year and, more significantly, has lost all three singles matches across the Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup, most recently to Marc Leishman just last year.

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Image: Jordan Spieth does not have the best of match play records

It would be folly to suggest he has some serious issue with match play, particularly as he was a dominant force as an amateur, but for now there are sufficient doubts to oppose him - particularly given that we all know Spieth hasn't quite been at his best since winning in Hawaii at the turn of the year.

In Spieth's group are Ryder Cup duo Jamie Donaldson and Victor Dubuisson, who are not playing well, so there's a decent case for Justin Thomas - otherwise known as Spieth's best friend. He's in good form for his debut in the event and, unlike so many, will genuinely relish the prospect of facing his pal.

However, Group 16 is the one that catches my eye and Andy Sullivan could be the man to emerge from it.

Image: Andy Sullivan could be the surprise package in his bracket

Sullivan is in great form at the moment, following second in Dubai with some really strong play in America of late, and seems certain to relish the format. He was part of the winning European side at the EurAsia Cup, where he beat the star of the Asian side, Thongchai Jaidee, in the singles, and is well on his way to a Ryder Cup debut later this year.

In fact, Sullivan reminds me of Danny Willett, who was third in this event last year when just beginning to make a name for himself at world level. And with a group which contains Matt Jones, Bernd Wiesberger and Louis Oosthuizen, Sullivan must have a good chance of progressing to a likely clash with either Thomas or Spieth.

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Of course, things get tougher at that stage but the Nuneaton man is aggressive enough to take apart any player in this field on a good day, having mixed it with the best in recent months. He could be the one to take advantage of Spieth's mediocre record in the format.

Quarter Two

Should Sullivan make the semi-finals, perhaps Australia's Marc Leishman will be waiting for him. The man who beat Spieth in the Presidents Cup singles last year has secured several match play scalps already in his career and could go well from Group 13.

In Leishman's way from the outset are Lee Westwood, Sergio Garcia and Ryan Moore, and I like his prospects of advancing. Westwood's form has been poor for a little while, Garcia's record in this event doesn't stand up to his achievements in the Ryder Cup, which brings out the best in him, while Moore has yet to match his amateur exploits since turning professional and can be taken on.

Image: Marc Leishman has been in good form and has a great draw

Leishman's first US win came in Texas and with Australians winning just about every event going at the moment, he's going to be full of confidence in what looks a decent section.

Should he advance, it could be Bubba Watson followed by Rickie Fowler but Leishman has faced up to the best America has to offer in the Presidents Cup and won't lie down. Last year he was beaten 2&1 by Gary Woodland, who went on to reach the final, and he has nothing to fear.

Quarter Three

Jason Day heads this section but in Paul Casey, he's grouped with a fine match play exponent who arrives in great form and might cause an upset, particularly if Day isn't quite primed to get back on the bike after his hard-fought success at Bay Hill.

With Charl Schwartzel (Group 15), Danny Willett (Group 10) and Brooks Koepka (Group 10) also lurking it's a very trappy part of the draw, but my token suggestion is Matt Kuchar.

Image: Matt Kuchar won the Match Play in 2013

Kuchar is in Group 7 with Justin Rose, Anirban Lahiri and Fabian Gomez and might just be the value to advance given that he boasts the best form in this event of the quartet, having won it in 2013.

He's also got a decent team record, beating Thomas Bjorn in the 2014 Ryder Cup singles and only narrowly losing to Branden Grace at the Presidents Cup last year, and might just be able to grind his way through to the latter stages having played well in Texas many times before.

In contrast, Rose is a somewhat rare visitor and his record in this event can only be described as abysmal for a player of his quality. With Lahiri facing a lengthy trip from Delhi and Gomez not up to this class, Kuchar could plot a path through some of the more fancied runners.

Quarter Four

This is where we find defending champion Rory McIlroy and he's my idea of the best bet this week - he's a 12/1 co-favourite but in my view should be clear at the head of the market.

The reason for this is Rory's match play record, which includes a win and a second in this event and an unbeaten run in Ryder Cup singles, plus the fact that he's in arguably the weakest group in the competition.

Image: McIlroy has one of the best match play records in the field

Granted, he could face Adam Scott or Branden Grace in the quarter-finals and the likes of Day thereafter, but McIlroy's game is really close right now and it's just a case of eliminating the odd mistake, the type which cost him a chance to contend last week at Bay Hill.

This is Rory's last chance to win before the Masters and having seen almost all of his key rivals do so in 2016, he'll be all the more desperate to get one on the board and arrive at Augusta full of confidence.

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