US Open betting preview: Who will come out on top at Oakmont?

By Ben Coley

Oakmont is the stage for the 116th United States Open Championship and anyone with half an eye on social media this week will be well aware that a brutal test lies in store.

Narrow fairways, thick rough and lightning-fast greens mean that five-over par, the score with which Angel Cabrera won when the tournament was played here in 2007, will surely have a chance as the USGA set out to make their national championship as demanding as possible.

With four top-10 finishes in five US Opens and a near-flawless game which includes magical touch around the greens, Jason Day is the man to beat as he seeks to double his major tally and win for the fourth time this season.

Rory McIlroy has to prove he can tough out and win in a likely over-par total while Jordan Spieth's iron play was poor at Muirfield Village last time, while he has the added pressure of defending the title he won in such dramatic fashion a year ago.

Image: Could Phil Mickelson end his winless run this week?

Day would get the token vote of the market leaders but I'd rather take four-times the price - around 28/1 - that Phil Mickelson can finally land the one major missing from his trophy cabinet.

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Mickelson's brilliant US Open record includes everything but a win and helps dispel the myth that you need to be incredibly accurate from the tee to compete, even at a course like Oakmont.

Cabrera blasted his way to the title here nine years ago and Mickelson, who is inside the top five on the PGA Tour in putting this season and was second in Memphis on Sunday, may be able to follow a similar path to glory and complete the career grand slam three years on from his famous Open Championship win.

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Almost all of his strong performances in this event, including four runner-up finishes, have come in this part of the US and he'll be raring to go having really found some confidence over the last two events, striking it brilliantly in Ohio before holing almost everything last week.

There are plenty of other strong candidates to keep the trophy on home soil, including in-form Dustin Johnson, but former FedEx Cup winner Billy Horschel looks better value at 100/1.

Horschel has started to rediscover his scoring touch on the back of a disappointing 2015, which followed on from that brilliant, $10m triumph in the autumn of 2014 when for a time he looked like the best player on the planet.

With 12 cuts made in a row - a record just two players can better - it's a matter of time before Horschel goes really close again and this demanding tee-to-green test should suit one of the PGA Tour's best ball-strikers.

Image: Horschel has already posted three top-10s this season

Three years ago, Horschel led the US Open at halfway having hit 18 greens out of 18 in the second round at Merion and that helps indicate what he can do when everything clicks.

Matt Kuchar could also give the home fans something to shout about as he's one of the in-form players in the world right now.

With four top-six finishes in a row and six top-10s in his last eight, Kuchar is back to his very best and can be strongly fancied to build on a very good US Open record which includes six cuts made in a row dating back to 2010.

Image: Kuchar has finished inside the top-six in his past four starts

Granted, he doesn't always finish the job off when in the mix but with an ace short-game and confidence with the driver, this really could be his week to add a major to his Players Championship and WGC titles.

Of the European contingent, Martin Kaymer appears overpriced at nearly 80/1 in places.

The German is a two-time major champion, don't forget, and with top-10s in three of his last five starts heads to Oakmont in something like peak form.

Image: Kaymer stormed to an eight-shot win in 2014

A patient player who hits a lot of greens when on-song and is a brilliant lag putter, the 32-year-old could be a huge factor as he seeks to add to his 2014 win in the event and climb into the Ryder Cup reckoning.

Finally, Australia's Marc Leishman is a strong each-way contender at around 100/1.

Three top-five finishes in majors show that Leishman can peak for the big events and while his US Open record is only average, this course should suit a player with no obvious weaknesses and who secured a really impressive win at the end of 2015.

Two quiet top-15 finishes serve as a lovely preparation and he could sneak under the radar and into contention.

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