A strong field heads to Torrey Pines this week for the Farmers Insurance Open. Ben Coley has looked through the field to pick out 10 players set to shine.
Jason Day
While all the talk over the last few days has been about Rickie Fowler and whether golf now has a 'Big Four', it's Jason Day who is the most likely winner of the Farmers Insurance Open.
Day's outstanding 2015 can be traced back to this event, where a late burst saw him enter a four-man play-off he'd go on to win. It was exactly what he needed to complete his transition to world-class and perhaps Fowler's Abu Dhabi victory will have the same lasting effect.
As for this week, we know that Day loves the course (his form figures in the event now read MC-9-2-1) and since last year's US Open he's produced a remarkable four wins from 10 starts, finishing no worse than 12th in the other six.
His form is arguably stronger even than Jordan Spieth's and having finished 69-65 in Hawaii last time, his first competitive start since September, he looks primed for a massive week.
Brandt Snedeker
With Fowler having to battle jet lag having flown from Abu Dhabi all the way over to California, it's former Torrey Pines winner Brandt Snedeker who looks Day's biggest threat.
The popular 35-year-old endured an up and down 2015, but seems to have remedied the small issues which held him back on the evidence of third place at Kapalua and second at Waialae.
The good news is all of his wins have come when he's been in similarly excellent form so he'll expect more chances to come his way over the coming weeks.
Given that Snedeker's California record includes a win here in 2012 and two titles at Pebble Beach, including at around this time last year, conditions are perfect for another strong week. His record on the South Course shows that its length isn't an issue, and why should it be when you've one of the best 100-yards-and-in games on the planet.
Rickie Fowler
The reason people are discussing Fowler as the player who could join the Spieth-Day-McIlroy axis extend beyond his age. While Bubba Watson, Justin Rose and, to a lesser extent, Henrik Stenson, continue to pick up titles in their turn, Fowler's four in less than nine months is a record matched by nobody outside the top three.
For that reason, he has to be considered a massive player wherever he tees up even if he's not as consistent on a week-to-week basis as the tournament favourite.
Fowler loves Torrey Pines, where he came to prominence as an amateur in the 2009 US Open before taking fifth place as a PGA Tour rookie in this event just a few months later. He's since finished sixth in 2013, a remarkable result considering he opened with a round of 77 when struggling alongside Tiger Woods, and two further top-20 finishes underline that this California kid can mix it with anyone around here.
There's just a nagging doubt that he could've done with a week off following Abu Dhabi given the emotional stress of closing out that tournament and the distance travelled subsequently - but if he does win here, that 'Big Four' is just about complete.
Patrick Reed
One moderate week in the desert, bringing to an end a run of seven straight top-10 finishes, shouldn't undermine the otherwise excellent credentials of Reed.
He's a player who is on the rise again having struck form towards the back-end of 2015, gaining instant rewards for returning to a former coach who has restored the 'feel' to his game.
Reed is a handsy player who relies on instinct and his own toughness so it's an astute piece of advice he's taken on board. With massive OWGR points on offer this week and slightly lower expectation levels given the star names above him in the betting, Reed could catch a few people out by landing the title his consistency over the last few months deserves.
Phil Mickelson
For the first time since his 2013 success in the Waste Management Phoenix Open, Mickelson led the entire field in strokes-gained: tee-to-green last week.
Given that it was his first start of the year and for a decade now he's needed a week or two to shed the rust, it was a highly encouraging performance which suggested that his decision to end a lengthy partnership with coach Butch Harmon was the right one.
Of course, whenever we're talking about Phil the phrase 'expect the unexpected' comes to mind so one could argue that he's just as likely to miss the cut as he is to contend this week, but he'll be raring to go following that performance in the desert and if he keeps driving it as well as he did there, Torrey Pines is an ideal fit.
Mickelson was second on his debut in this event exactly 20 years ago, won it in both 2000 and 2001 and was second to Bubba Watson in 2011. His combination of long driving and magical wedge play works perfectly on both the North and South layouts - it's just a question of whether he can find the consistency lacking throughout 2015.
Dustin Johnson
One of the strongest performers in the world, Dustin Johnson has an obvious chance to add to his collection of PGA Tour titles.
Last year, he won the WGC-Cadillac at Doral, a monster golf course, and while his Torrey Pines record is a mixed bag he has done enough to suggest that he can harness his advantageous power here.
Johnson has two titles to his name at nearby Pebble Beach, has finished second on his last two starts at Riviera and was third behind Bubba and Mickelson here five years ago. As for recent form, it's true that he's yet to produce his best since that US Open heartbreak and subsequent failure to hang onto the lead in the Open at St Andrews, but he was dreadfully unlucky in the WGC-HSBC Champions and played solidly for 10th last time.
Graham DeLaet
Some very good players have produced their breakthrough moment in this event and, at long last, this could be Graham DeLaet's time.
The Canadian is without doubt one of the best non-winners on the PGA Tour but having rediscovered his ball-striking touch to start 2016, the feeling is he's going to have plenty more chances over the coming weeks any months.
The Farmers Insurance Open is an ideal fit given how demanding a test it represents off the tee, and DeLaet has been ninth and second in his last two visits, missing the 2015 renewal. Clearly, DeLaet gets up and running quickly on the golf course and having recently fathered twins, he's in a good place off it, too.
Justin Rose
Most weeks, Justin Rose would be right up in Day's slipstream but there have to be one or two doubts ahead of his first start of the year. Those already mentioned all have the benefit of match practice and all of them have in fact produced at least one top-10 finish in 2016, while Rose has been gearing up for his return.
Secondly, the Englishman signed off with a rather up and down 22nd in Dubai and I strongly suspect that he'll give himself too much to do on Sunday by making elementary mistakes across the first three days.
It's not as if Torrey Pines is a natural fit, either, given that he's yet to crack the top-20 in seven starts at the course, and his place in the Power Rankings is purely down to his overall class and standing in the game. I can't leave him out of this top-10 feature, but I wouldn't dream of backing him to win this tournament at 18/1. One to oppose any way you can.
Charles Howell III
One of golf's great money-spinners, Howell is a Torrey Pines machine having banked 13 cheques from his 13 appearances in this tournament.
The hugely talented man from Georgia has six top-10 finishes to show for his efforts and was twice runner-up in 2005 and 2007, while last year saw him close with an exceptional round of 68 to narrowly miss out on the play-off.
There would've been concerns around his switch in club supplies, but finishes of 13th and 11th in his first two starts of the year show that it's had no impact on Howell's game - indeed they're simply a continuation of the form he showed with four top-20 finishes in five events to start the season.
Bill Haas
There was some discontent among US golf fans when Haas received a captain's pick from father Jay ahead of the Presidents Cup.
Eager to prove the naysayers wrong, Haas was a key part of the winning side, fully justifying his inclusion by closing out a tight match, and has since produced a string of good performances to suggest that he could bag a deserved Ryder Cup debut in September.
Haas was a solid 18th in Hawaii to start the year before finishing inside the top-10 as defending champion last week, and as one of the sport's most consistent, weakness-free players will have no problem dealing with the differences between the North and South layouts used in this event.
Sleepers
Emiliano Grillo
It's amazing to think that Emiliano Grillo is only 23 years old, given that his breakthrough wins towards the end of 2015 had some observers stating that it was 'about time'.
It's a testament to his quality that the Argentine had come so close on so many occasions all over the world previously and he remains one to keep on the right side of as he continues his climb towards the world's top-10, a goal I firmly expect him to achieve.
His results don't necessarily leap off the page since he won the season-opening Frys.com Open but, like Day, Grillo won the Junior World Golf Championship here a few years back and says Torrey Pines is one of his favourite venues in the world, so you can expect a very good week.
Marc Leishman
A simple horses-for-courses selection, given that Marc Leishman has made six of seven cuts here and twice been second. Having won the Nedbank to close out 2015 he's set for a big year, albeit early indications suggest that a switch in club manufacturer is just taking time to bed in.
Tony Finau
With the South Course the longest used in non-majors, big-hitting Tony Finau is interesting even at first glance. Delve deeper and you'll discover that he's played much of his best golf in California, regularly practices at Torrey Pines and calls it his favourite venue on the PGA Tour, so having been 24th on his debut in this event last year he'll be confident despite a slow start to the year.
Ben's bets...
I must admit that Day is impossible to leave out even at a single-figure price. His credentials are flawless and I don't really have any concerns around the pressure that comes with defending a title, nor any notion that he'll struggle to kick-on having achieved a lifelong goal in the PGA Championship last August.
Quite the opposite - he'll have reset his goals and given the type of man he is can be expected to achieve them. Otherwise, it's the sleepers for me - Grillo, Leishman and Finau. There's some doubt as to whether Leishman is in the right shape for this test, but I have to give him the benefit of the doubt, while the other two have been on my mind for this for a very long time.
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