Manchester United are more likely to be relegated from the Premier League than win it, Sky Sports' new Premier Predictor has revealed.
Jose Mourinho's team have just a one per cent chance of winning the Premier League this season, according to the prediction tool, while they have a two per cent chance of being relegated.
According to the Premier Predictor, United have just a 14 per cent probability of reaching the top four - putting them behind Everton in the predicted standings.
United are currently eighth in the table, following a frustrating start to the 2016/17 season.
Mourinho's side have the fourth-lowest shot conversion rate in the league, while, at the other end of the pitch, they have allowed more shots at their goal than any of the current top five.
The Premier Predictor uses an algorithm to predict results from a range of factors, including previous success, recent form, home advantage, winning margin and schedule.
It's based on a system originally used to rank chess players, but Sky Sports have tweaked it for use in football.
Teams compete for ranking points - the number of points they win or lose depends on the margin of victory or defeat in each match, the quality of their opposition, and whether they are playing at home or away.
Predictions for matches - and eventual league positions - are then made based on analysis of the relationship between the Premier Predictor rankings and match results in Premier League matches dating back to 1995.
Arsenal are currently favourites to win the Premier League, according to the Premier Predictor, ahead of Manchester City.
With just three points separating first from fifth in the current Premier League table, it's also tight at the top of the Predictor standings.
But the Gunners' stronger form last season gives them an edge in the algorithm - which takes into account Spurs' struggle to cope with the pressure of last season's title race, City's limp to the end of Manuel Pellegrini's reign, and Liverpool finishing outside the European places in eighth in 2015/16.
At the other end of the spectrum, the Predictor has picked out three fairly clear favourites for relegation in Sunderland, Hull and Swansea.
Check out the Premier Predictor table below...
This weekend's predictions
The Premier Predictor also predicts scores on a game-by-game basis, and the predictions for this weekend's Premier League games are below, with Arsenal tipped to win the north London derby, and United, Leicester, Liverpool and Chelsea also expected to pick up victories...